The US Open 2026 second-round match, scheduled for the afternoon of September 3rd (CET), brings us a clash between the 4th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime and the Russian tennis player Karen Khachanov. Although their past encounters have been close, statistics and current form clearly place the Canadian tennis player in the role of a massive favorite.
Hard Court Form
When analyzing their hard-court performance over the last 52 weeks, the difference in form is drastic. Auger-Aliassime has been playing impressively, boasting a record of 38 wins and only 13 losses (an outstanding 74.5% win rate on hard courts). In the first round, he overcame the tricky Rinky Hijikata with a four-set victory (7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5), relying on his excellent serve and 17 aces in crucial moments.
On the other hand, Khachanov is going through a major crisis on hard courts. Over the past year, he holds a negative record of 10 wins and 16 losses (only a 38.5% success rate), and he entered the US Open main draw on a four-match losing streak.
Head-to-Head (H2H) Encounters
The history of head-to-head duels between these two players is currently perfectly tied at 2-2. They have played twice on hard courts, splitting the wins 1-1; Khachanov won in Montreal in 2019, while Auger-Aliassime took the victory at the Cincinnati tournament in 2021. In their most recent encounter, played on the grass courts of Halle in June 2025, Khachanov emerged victorious. However, a significant amount of time has passed since then, and it was played on a completely different surface.
Win Percentage Prediction
Considering the fantastic level of tennis the Canadian has been displaying over the last year and Khachanov’s disastrous string of results on hard courts, all statistical and analytical parameters favor the World No. 4. Bookmakers also keep the odds for the Canadian’s victory very low, which closely aligns with computer-generated predictions ahead of the match.
Percentage prediction for the winner:
- Felix Auger-Aliassime: 70%
- Karen Khachanov: 30%
Baseline dominance and a significant serving advantage will be key. My prediction is a routine victory for Felix Auger-Aliassime, very likely in three or a maximum of four sets.
Internal Links & Resources
- For more expert insights on this week’s matches, explore our latest tennis predictions and betting tips.
- Make sure to stay updated with all the results, schedules, and draws at our comprehensive US Open 2026 hub
- Take a closer look at the ATP Tour rankings and statistics to see how these players compare over the full season.
